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India’s US tariff edge hinges on July 24 deadline

India’s US tariff edge hinges on July 24 deadline



India’s US tariff edge hinges on July 24 deadline

The rate India actually pays

Market chatter still cites an “** per cent reciprocal” rate on Indian goods under the February **** framework. That number is not live. After the US Supreme Court struck down International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA)-based tariffs in the reciprocal architecture collapsed and every major apparel supplier reverted to the flat ** per cent Section *** surcharge. At present, an Indian cotton-knit T-shirt (Harmonized Tariff Schedule [HTS] ****) enters the United States at a most-favoured-nation (MFN) duty of about **.* per cent, plus the ** per cent Section *** surcharge, resulting in a total duty burden of roughly ** per cent. On a $** free on board (FOB) shipment, that translates to approximately $*.** in duty before freight. If Section *** expires on July ** and is replaced by a **.* per cent Section *** duty without an India-specific concession, the duty burden would rise to about $*.**. By contrast, a first-tranche BTA that secures placement in the proposed ** per cent Section *** tier or provides textile-mechanism coverage would reduce the additional tariff layer to around $*.**. That difference will directly influence sourcing decisions.

Chart *. Section *** duty scenarios on a $** FOB cotton-knit tee (HTS ****).

Source: Derived calculation; MFN and Section *** verified, Section *** tiers proposed by United States Trade Representative (USTR).



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