Despite domestic inflationary pressures in India, headline inflation may be contained in the coming months, the Monthly Economic Review by the Ministry of Finance said.
Though the normalisation of global supply chains and trade flows to pre-conflict levels may take time, the decline in international commodity prices is expected to provide some cushion against further price pressures, it observed.
“Given the ongoing West Asia crisis and the subsequent global price shock, domestic inflationary pressures appear to be on an upward trajectory, particularly as fuel and energy price shocks diffuse domestically,” it noted.
Though the normalisation of global supply chains and trade flows to pre-conflict levels may take time, the decline in international commodity prices is expected to provide some cushion against further price pressures, the report observed.
“Government interventions, adequate buffer stocks of key agricultural commodities, and continued supply-side management measures also help mitigate potential supply disruptions,” it said.
“Overall, the economy continues to exhibit resilience.” However, moderation in select high-frequency indicators suggests some easing in momentum.
The uneven distribution of monsoon rainfall, emerging El Nino conditions, and geopolitical uncertainties will continue to shape the outlook.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DS)